What he is arguing is that the ICU bed Capacity just mysteriously dropped 400 overnight and the overall hospital bed capacity dropped by 2000. Humans, individually or collectively, can influence the outcome either way… Read more », “However, the US could have done much better.” Yes they could have have recognized that US citizens will never accept the same lockdown rules that other countries willingly follow. The test positivity has been coming down in Illinois, which bodes well for the next few weeks. One can argue that ‘lockdowns’ don’t work (there are potential arguments concerning that aspect, even if overall poor, and one could certainly argue about the costs of ‘lockdowns’) but suggesting that ‘lockdowns’ cause more covid deaths is mind boggling. The chart above shows how the age-adjusted death rate from ILIs in Illinois compares over time to the rest of the nation. You have to be aware that most people will ‘recover’ from Covid (natural history in most) so whatever you do or don’t do will look like a ‘success’. The antibody data, such as it is, seems to rule out anything like 10x undercounting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6pm5T_E4rw, https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/herd-immunity-and-coronavirus/art-20486808#:~:text=Herd%20immunity%20occurs%20when%20a,those%20who%20are%20immune, 2015-2020 Dietary Guidelines for Americans (health.gov), https://www.flhealthsource.gov/files/Laboratory-Reporting-CT-Values-12032020.pdf, https://datacatalog.cookcountyil.gov/Public-Safety/Medical-Examiner-Case-Archive-COVID-19-Related-Dea/3trz-enys/data, https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm, Covid-19 Thanksgiving Surge Begins to Arrive – WSJ.com, https://sebastianrushworth.com/2020/11/06/how-accurate-are-the-covid-tests/, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7H2c0Zm6PFw, https://wirepoints.org/give-us-better-data-and-projections-with-covid-19-cases-soaring-officially-reported-information-is-increasingly-useless-wirepoints/, https://www.mdjonline.com/neighbor_newspapers/extra/news/illinois-hospital-capacity-metrics-change/video_3404c3f7-185b-5d6b-915f-0e47e343fc35.html, https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patients/, Madigan’s loss, Illinois’ damaging COVID restrictions and the potential impact of Biden’s new stimulus – Mark Glennon on the Steve Cortes Show, Illinois may be in line for nearly $14 billion in federal help for state and local government – Quicktake, Please, Illinois, lift the ban on high school sports – Wirepoints, Illinois A.M. (After Madigan) – Wirepoints. A COVID-19 outbreak at Illinois Veterans Home in LaSalle has now resulted in 27 deaths, officials said. Since… Read more ». The spontaneous restrictions (from individuals) to the virus and the various government actions are… Read more ». Flu episodes vary every year (even if the long term trend is down overall) and during the year mentioned it was slightly more than usual but it was a fraction of excess mortality reported this year due to COVID. Probable cases are those diagnosed by antigen tests instead of molecular PCR tests. Limiting the spread of the virus AND related direct and indirect consequences required intelligent policies and individual decision-making to limit the biological effects while limiting economic costs. In theory, there is a margin of excess capacity but, in practice and for a variety of reasons including limited qualified personnel issues, the practical excess capacity is often less than in theory and if, you are in charge, you have to think about that. For the typical person reaching 80, the residual life expectancy is about 10 years. 2019 data. But. By Mitchell Armentrout @mitchtrout Oct 2, 2020, 2:27pm CDT If our politicians had brains in their heads they would have given antibody tests to healthcare workers and de-prioritized everyone that has already been infected. This is here to stay. https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/coronavirus/pritzker-more-than-125000-doses-of-covid-19-vaccine-administered-in-illinois/2404629/#new_tab, https://www.aier.org/article/an-education-in-viruses-and-public-health-from-michael-yeadon-former-vp-of-pfizer/. J.B. Pritzker warned the state’s “peak” impact from the pandemic might not hit until mid-May. It’s not politics, it’s basic biology, basic reasoning and common sense. In my field, 80% of people see their condition improve over a course of 6 weeks (whatever one does or… Read more », True. IL may “benefit” already from developing herd immunity. My CBC is spot on for 63 yo thank god. Nationally, men are more likely to die from ILIs than women. All of his victims were boys between the age of 14 and 21. Came here by chance and the data as well as conclusions are interesting. What is a life worth anyways? This is not a freedom or control question, it’s based on what a civilized society should do when faced with a new threat. That the severity of Covid is directly associated with the nutritional status of the person when first exposed to the virus. Vitamin D is approx 30-35 iu’s per pound of weight/per day then get checked a few times a year. I read Mercola everyday. I also find your comment interesting around political theatrics but then later you bring up the spread… Read more ». ‘Your’ healthcare is close to being 50% government subsidized and please send your memo to hospital administrators who typically spend the healthcare dollars on older people who have… Read more », You want to be locked down go for it, never even addressed my facts about the Villages. It is a total scam. We’ll find out if excess deaths are lower than expected in the year or two post pandemic (ie- a statistically significant number of people died in 2020 that would have otherwise died in 2021/2022). How do you heal from fake news? What happen to the flu. In Illinois as of May 6, just over half of the confirmed coronavirus cases in the state are people over the age of 50, but 86% of deaths in Illinois are people ages 50 and over. At Mercola they have an older interview with Dr. Fauci from This week in Virology 641 July 16,2020 and he states “If you get a cycle threshold of 35 or more the chances of it being replication confident are minuscule. Not science, just you. Why reduce capacity if we are in the scary second wave. Reporting on “case” numbers does nothing but validate the useless RT-PCR test, which was not created as a diagnostic tool, nor can it reliably indicate the level of infection or predict whether the person can be considered contagious. 2) Did you ever run a model using your 10x assumption to project hospitalization? Thank you. You can follow the tables back for 5 months and both total beds and ICU beds hover around the same number then boom, overnight a bunch of them are gone. Capacity can be increased (open a previously closed ward, transform a unit into an ICU care area, buy equipment etc). The achievement of vaccines is great and has been related to many factors (and some luck). 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Devore for his nomination to the virus can be arbitrary found this also: https:.!, informative journalism, please consider purchasing a subscription leaders i have found out is nutrients and medicines should.
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